Can Isaac Newton Help You Win at Roulette

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Isaac Newtone Figured out the Roulette

Roulette is a traditional symbol of a system where all the outcomes are arrived at by pure chance. However, not all roulette wheels are created equal, and every outcome does depend on different factors. Moreover, a small change in the initial conditions can drastically affect the result. But can you beat the game of roulette with the power of physics, or is it all a myth? Let’s find out!

Roulette and Laws of Motion

The rules of the game are quite simple: the croupier spins the wheel in one direction, and the ball in the other. Players then place a bet on a single number, a range of numbers, or specific colors.

And thanks to Newton’s laws of motion, we have a pretty solid understanding of the physical processes in roulette. As the ball slows down, gravitational forces take hold, eventually leading the ball to fall into the compartment. Newton’s laws help to predict when the ball is going to leave the rim; however, not so much the route it takes to a numbered slot.

This is actually not only because of the obstacles the ball strikes. Every roulette wheel differs: from the size of the frets between the numbers to the diamond-shaped obstacles. Plus, the atmospheric conditions constantly change and influence the outcome of the game. This means that predicting the exact number where the ball lands is impossible. But you don’t even need the exact number; you only need the area of the wheel where the ball lands, which may give you an advantage of more than 40% over the casino.

Roulette’s Defects

In the 1940s, two friends, Albert “Al” Hibs and Roy Walford, often took a break from classes to gamble in Nevada — the only state where it was legal at the time. Their main goal was to examine the roulette wheels and then find weaknesses in them; so they could finally use them in their favor.

A century ago, the wheels weren’t the same as today and often had different defects, which offered them the key to success. So once the two students finally discovered it, they managed to win a pretty significant amount of money, so they could buy a boat and sail around the world!

Man Who Beat the Casino

Edward Thorp Casino Master GeniusIt’s now a decade later, and the casinos have already started to upgrade the roulette wheels, to avoid any more defects. Having learned about the success of Hibbs and Walford, decides to follow in their footsteps, while adopting a new strategy for winning the game.

What Thorp actually managed to create was the world’s first wearable computer that could record the speed at which the wheel is spun, thus making it possible to provide the kind of calculations that would predict a number the ball was going to land at. The device could be worn inconspicuously under a shirt, and it was powerful enough to transmit any necessary information by radio to their partner in crime. The strategy worked so well that Thorn gained the title of ‘The man who beat the casino.’

Sweaty Experiments

In the late seventies, Doyne Farmer and his colleagues decided to take things to a whole new level. As an improvement upon Thorp’s computer, Farmer developed a more compact device, which was located in the player’s shoe. The computer is supposed to perform two main functions: to customize specific parameters for each roulette wheel before the game and determine whether the wheel exhibited any tilt.

The second job of the experiment was during live play. The player with the computer-implemented shoe needed to tap the toe operated switchers each time a certain point on the wheel passed by. With this information, the device could calculate the speed of the ball and the wheel; thereby predicting when the ball would start to fall. Knowing that, the program could make a prediction about where the ball was going to land, and transmit the information by radio signals to the second player.

roulette-casinoThe second computer would then receive the signals and communicate this information to the player by solenoid electromagnets that tapped the player’s stomach. A code had been developed that transmitted the predicted numbers, with the initial player placing bets on those specific numbers. To make sure the casinos didn’t easily find out what they were doing, the partners in crime just changed the patterns slightly.

Sounds like a perfect plan, doesn’t it? However, this never was as smooth as observed in the lab — due to a sweaty incident that caused a technological problem, i.e. some weak and even completely lost radio connections.

However, that didn’t stop the team; quite the opposite, in fact! For several years this team, which grew in size to as many as 20 people, was working on the development and improvement of the computer system. By now, both computers were built into the shoes, which could protect the player from being electrocuted, but also made it hard for the casinos to detect as well! Plus, the devices were set in resin blocks, which prevented sweating and loose wires.

With that innovation, they finally entered the casino in Las Vegas, ready to break the bank. Once they’d set the parameters, their first prediction occurred — 1, 13, 24, and 36. The ball eventually landed at 13, and they got paid off at 35-1. Their long years of hard work looked promising, but then the solenoids started to act randomly, causing them to make inaccurate predictions. The only explanation the team got was some electronic noise in the casino! Eventually, Farmer and the team had no choice except to abandon this idea.

What About Today?

While in the seventies and eighties people had to build computers from scratch, today such problems don’t exist. These days, such machines are already available to everyone. Plus, technology has evolved drastically ever since then.

However, some specific challenges still remain. How to work as partners in crime and pass on the necessary data without being caught? And what’s the best way of hiding the fact of using electronic devices to predict the outcome of the gameplay?

The hardest thing is still the casino itself. They’re unlikely to let you cheat with a camera pointed at the roulette wheel. Plus, the fact that you’re always winning will probably look suspicious to the casino workers.

In theory, though, given the casinos’ ability to detect frauds, it is very possible that scientists might be able to create a system to outsmart the casinos and finally beat the game of roulette!

You’d Also Like to Know

  • Is there a lucky roulette number?

3, 7, and 17 are somehow considered to be lucky numbers. Even though the use of these numbers as lucky doesn’t make any sense, they make people a little bit more confident when placing bets.

  • Can a roulette dealer control a ball?

The short answer to this question would be no. Roulette usually has a 5.26% advantage on the house edge, so the casinos don’t care about cheating with the roulette wheel.

  • Can you cheat at roulette online?

Unfortunately, no. All online casinos use a Random Number Generator (RNG), which ensures the gameplay is fair. This means that all the spins are genuinely random, and cheating is impossible.

  • Is roulette only about luck?

To be frank, the real cause of your roulette results is somewhere between luck and any external factors affecting the game; especially at land-based casinos. The simple explanation of this would be that every roulette game has different outcomes that all depend on various factors.

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